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Reform have advanced their lead in early year polling after a second report showed growing favourability for the party.

The More in Common poll saw the Reform acquire 273 seats from the Labour party alone, pushing their Implied National Vote Share ahead by four points to 31 per cent.

This comes ahead of the Conservatives at 23 per cent and Labour at 19 per cent, spelling a gloomy outlook for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his 2026.

As projected by the think-tank, an election tomorrow would undoubtedly spell victory for Nigel Farage and his party. ‘Reform could hope to secure a substantial three-figure majority’, said More in Common’s Executive Director, Luke Tryl.

Despite the conviction of the numbers, Tryl still urges on the side of caution, stating ‘we are still years from an election… despite their [Reform’s] success in 2025, the path to the next general election is still far from known.’

The report followed a YouGov poll placing Labour in third place at 17 per cent, evading the pursuit of the Liberal Democrats at 16 per cent and the Green Party at 15 per cent.

“Recent polling doesn’t bode well for Keir Starmer,” said Nicholas Stephenson, a data analyst at the centre-right think tank Onward. ‘Labour have slipped into third in the averages and are behind the Green’s,’ he continued.

The disappointing data arrived just days after Starmer, in an interview with the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg, vowed that he would remain in office in a year’s time.

“I was elected in 2024 with a five-year mandate to change the country, and that’s what I intend to do, to be faithful to that mandate,” Starmer assured. Despite assurances, the British public remain sceptical of this mandate, anticipating that conditions will worsen before they improve.

According to a December 2025 survey by Ipsos, 31 per cent of British adults feel worse about the forthcoming year, compared with 2025. This comes in the majority to 27 per cent of British adults who believe it will be better and 29 per cent who believe it will remain the same.

Fleeting confidence for the beleaguered prime minister arrives in tandem with the ongoing speculation surrounding his removal as Labour leader. Health secretary Wes Streeting, former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner and Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham have all accrued their own support in replacing Sir Keir as leader.